Tropical Storm Franklin lost strength, but not form, over the Yucatan Peninsula Tuesday. The National Hurricane Center even said that its circulation had “tightened up” after landfall in their 5 am advisory. This makes Franklin very likely to regain strength when it moves back over the Bay of Campeche Wednesday, and the storm could become the season’s first hurricane before making a second landfall in Mexico Thursday.
Confidence is high on the forecast track of Tropical Storm Franklin. The storm will be steered to the west at a consistent 15 mph pace by a ridge of high pressure to the north. Uncertainty remains, however, on how strong the storm may become before landfall. Uppper-level northerly winds are expected to increase during the day Wednesday, and this might result in some disorganization of the storm’s center during its last 12 to 18 hours over water. Potential impacts to land from Franklin include a minor storm surge, wind damage primary along the coast, and flooding rains with possible mudslides further inland.