Jerry is forecast to become the next hurricane of the season; luckily, it will stay over the open Atlantic waters. Why are the storms turning?

The tropics are still kicking. Invest 95 moves over the Central Atlantic and could brush the northeastern Caribbean; meanwhile, another minor disturbance is present in the western Caribbean.

While the Gulf Coast deals with rough, dangerous seas, the Atlantic Coast's King Tides produce coastal flooding that is exacerbated by strong winds.

The National Hurricane Center has given a disturbed area of weather off Florida's east coast a 10% chance of development. Even without additional development, heavy rainfall, flooding, rough seas and dangerous rip currents will be likely.

We are officially in a La Niña watch. This indicates a high likelihood of a transition from neutral to La Niña occurring during October to December 2025.

NOAA's October weather outlook points to warmer-than-average temperatures across much of the U.S., including the Southeast, with Florida expected to receive more rainfall.

The change in wind direction will be responsible for good changes on Tuesday, and another shift will allow the rain to return later.

Choppy seas, 12-foot waves, and a high rip current risk for the East Coast of Florida, with incoming rounds of rain for the immediate coast.

The track continues to shift east; some, if not all, watches could be discontinued later on Sunday, even if the storm intensifies.

The immediate east-central coast of Florida has the chance for strong gusty winds, beach erosion, and other dangerous marine hazards.